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ANALYSIS
23 JUL 2026
Economy

UK rents hit a record high — but the boom that drove them there is over

Average UK private rent reached £1,383 a month in May 2026. But annual rent inflation has fallen from a record 9.1% two years ago to 3.3% today, and the regions that drove the surge have swapped places with the ones that once lagged.

36%
of income the typical English private-renting household spends on rent, FYE 202423
£1,383
Average UK monthly private rent, 12 months to May 2026 — a record level1
3.3%
Annual rent inflation, May 2026 — down from a record 9.1% in March 20241
What the data shows

A record level, built by a boom that has already ended

The average private rent across the UK was £1,383 a month in the 12 months to May 2026, the highest level the Office for National Statistics' Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) has recorded.1 That headline obscures the more useful story: the rate at which rents are rising has been slowing for a year and a half.

Annual rent inflation peaked at 9.1% in the 12 months to March 2024 — a record for the series, which began in 2015 — and has fallen in almost every reading since.1 By December 2025 it was down to 4.0%, the lowest reading since May 2022; by May 2026 it stood at 3.3%.1 The level of rent is still climbing, in other words, but the boom that pushed it there peaked two years ago and has been losing momentum ever since.

Exhibit 01
UK annual rent inflation, peak to present
Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents, annual % change on the UK's entire privately rented stock, monthly bulletins December 2022–July 2026.1 Not seasonally adjusted; the two most recent months in any bulletin are provisional and subject to a two-month revision.
Key finding. Rent inflation has fallen by 5.8 percentage points from its March 2024 peak to May 2026 — the fastest sustained slowdown in the PIPR series' history — even as the level of rent itself keeps setting new highs.

The affordability squeeze behind that record level predates the recent boom. A median-income private-renting household in England spent 36.3% of its income on an average-priced let in the financial year ending 2024, the most recent official figure available, against a long-run average of around a third going back over a decade.23 Rents have gone on rising since; the ONS has not yet published an update covering the 2025–26 period.

The regional story

The regions that led the boom now lag it — and vice versa

Look inside the national figure and the story sharpens. In the 12 months to June 2024, London was the fastest-inflating region in England at 9.7%, while the North East was among the slowest at 5.9%.1 London's rate kept climbing after that, peaking at 11.5% in the 12 months to November 2024 — the fastest slowdown of any region since, falling 9.5 percentage points to 2.0% by May 2026, the lowest of any English region.1

The North East moved the other way. Having lagged London through 2024, it became the English region with the highest rent inflation from mid-2025 onward — 9.2% in August 2025 — and was still the fastest-inflating region in England at 5.9–6.3% through May and June 2026, even as the rest of the country slowed.1 The two regions have effectively swapped places.

Exhibit 02
London and the North East have swapped positions on rent inflation
Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents, annual % change by English region.1 "Early" reads mid-2024 (London's fastest phase, June); "latest" reads May–June 2026. Rents are still rising in both regions — this chart tracks the inflation rate, not the level, and the rate is not the same thing as an absolute price fall.
Key finding. London rent inflation fell further and faster than any other English region — from a peak of 11.5% to 2.0% — while the North East went from one of the slowest-inflating regions to the fastest, at up to 9.2%.1
Does this still matter?

Rents outran the cost of living — that gap has now nearly closed

The record rent-inflation figure only bit as hard as it did because it was running so far ahead of prices generally. At its March 2024 peak, UK rent inflation (9.1%) was 5.9 percentage points above general consumer price inflation, CPI, which stood at 3.2% that month.15 By June 2026, CPI had eased to 2.6% and rent inflation to 3.3% (May 2026 reading), a gap of just 0.7 percentage points — the narrowest since before the boom began.15

Wages have closed the gap too. Regular pay excluding bonuses grew 3.4% in the three months to May 2026, essentially level with rent inflation and, for the first time since the boom began, no longer falling behind it.6 That is a marked change from the peak years, when rent inflation repeatedly outpaced both prices and pay.

Exhibit 03
Rent inflation vs. general prices and wage growth, peak vs. now
Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents (rent); ONS Consumer Prices Index, CPI (general prices); ONS Average Weekly Earnings, regular pay excluding bonuses (wages).156 "Peak" reads the rent-inflation peak month, March 2024; "latest" reads the most recent comparable reading for each series (rent: May 2026; CPI: June 2026; pay: three months to May 2026).
Key finding. The rent-inflation premium over general prices has narrowed from 5.9 percentage points at its 2024 peak to 0.7 points today, and wage growth (3.4%) is now running almost exactly level with rent inflation (3.3%) rather than lagging it.
Why it moved

Two plausible drivers — and one honest gap

The PIPR does not publish a causal breakdown of regional rent moves, so any explanation here is the desk's reading of the pattern, not an established finding. Two things line up with the timing. First, London rents rose fastest and furthest in 2022–24, so the region has the largest base to grow from — a high starting level naturally slows further percentage growth even if demand stays firm, a base effect the ONS itself uses to explain similar swings in the house-price series.1 Second, remote and hybrid work reduced the premium on living near central London through the pandemic years, and commentators including Zoopla have linked cooling city-centre demand and a renewed hunt for affordability to price moves in cheaper regions.4 Neither claim is proven by the PIPR data alone; both are consistent with it.

The longer view

The affordability problem predates the boom — and isn't a one-way ratchet

Zoom out further and the record rent level looks less like a new crisis and more like a persistent baseline condition. On ONS's rent-to-income measure, the average rent in England has been above the 30% affordability threshold in every single year from the financial year ending (FYE) 2016 to FYE 2024 — not a recent slide from a comfortable starting point, but a decade-long feature of the English market.2 Over that same period, ONS finds private-renting households' incomes have on average grown faster than rents in England, Wales and Northern Ireland alike.2

The three most recent comparable readings show the ratio moving in both directions, not climbing in a straight line: 36.5% of income in FYE 2022, 34.2% in FYE 2023, and 36.3% in FYE 2024.2 London is the outlier that drags the England-wide figure above the threshold — its own ratio has ranged from 38.5% to 57.0% of income since FYE 2016, while most other English regions have stayed within a 19–36% band and several, including the North East and East Midlands, have remained comfortably affordable throughout.2

Exhibit 04
Average rent as a share of median renter household income, England
Source: ONS, Private rental affordability, England, Wales and Northern Ireland, financial years ending 2022–2024.2 Only these three years are shown because they share a comparable rent methodology; ONS's own pre-2022 figures (e.g. 23% in FYE 2020) used a different, median-rent basis and are not directly comparable — they are described in the text above, not plotted here, to avoid implying a false trend.
Key finding. England's private rent affordability ratio has been above the 30%-of-income threshold for the entire FYE2016–2024 series, but it has moved up and down rather than only worsening — and incomes, not just rents, have driven the recent narrowing.
What we don't know

PIPR measures the stock of all private tenancies, not just newly advertised lets, so it lags market turning points by several months compared with letting-agent indices such as Rightmove's or HomeLet's, which track new lets only.1 Scotland's figures rely mainly on newly advertised rather than achieved rents and carry an ONS-flagged data-quality caveat, so its readings are less comparable with the rest of the UK.1 The affordability series changed its income-modelling source between the FYE 2023 and FYE 2024 editions, which the ONS says affects year-on-year comparability, so the FYE 2024 figure (36.3%) should be read as a snapshot more than a precise one-year change from FYE 2023 (34.2%).2 The two most recent months in any PIPR or CPI release are provisional and subject to revision. And no published breakdown explains why London and the North East reversed — the causes above are the desk's reading of a documented pattern, not an ONS finding.

By the numbers
5.9pp
Rent-inflation premium over CPI at the Mar 2024 peak15
0.7pp
That premium today — the narrowest since before the boom15
3.4%
Regular pay growth, 3 months to May 2026 — now level with rent inflation6
2.96×
London's average rent as a multiple of the North East's, May 20261
Caveat. A slowing inflation rate is not a falling price, and a narrowing gap to CPI is not the same as rent becoming cheap. Every region in this piece still has rents higher than a year ago, and England's affordability ratio has stayed above the 30% threshold throughout the visible series. Nothing here shows rents falling in cash terms, or English renters spending less of their income than the long-run pattern, anywhere.
Go deeper

Read more

Method. All rent levels and annual percentage changes are drawn directly from the ONS Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) as published in its monthly "Private rent and house prices, UK" bulletins; no figure in this piece is modelled, projected, or extrapolated. Regional and cross-series comparisons (London/North East deceleration, the rent–CPI gap, the rent-ratio multiple) were computed from the cited published rates and levels and checked in code before publishing. CPI and CPIH figures are the ONS's headline 12-month rates; pay growth is regular pay (excluding bonuses) from ONS Average Weekly Earnings, the three-month period ending closest to the rent reading available. The affordability exhibit uses only the three ONS financial years (FYE 2022–2024) that share a comparable rent methodology; earlier ONS affordability figures use a different, median-rent basis and are described in the text but deliberately not plotted alongside the comparable years, to avoid implying a continuous trend the data doesn't support.
Sources.
  1. T1ONS, Price Index of Private Rents, UK and Private rent and house prices, UK, monthly bulletins, December 2022–July 2026 (accessed 22 Jul 2026).
  2. T1ONS, Private rental affordability, England, Wales and Northern Ireland: 2024, released 18 Aug 2025 (accessed 22 Jul 2026).
  3. T2Joseph Rowntree Foundation, Under pressure: the affordability challenges facing private renters, citing MHCLG 2025 English Housing Survey data (accessed 22 Jul 2026).
  4. T3Zoopla, The UK's cheapest places to rent a home in 2026, for regional commentary and attribution only (accessed 22 Jul 2026).
  5. T1ONS, Consumer price inflation, UK, monthly bulletins, March 2024 and June 2026 (accessed 22 Jul 2026).
  6. T1ONS, Average weekly earnings in Great Britain, released 21 Jul 2026 (accessed 22 Jul 2026).
Corrections. None. Material corrections will be logged here with date.
Figures to 23 Jul 2026. Noodle News · v1.2 · 2026-07-23-uk-rental-inflection.