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ANALYSIS
27 SEP 2026
Economy · Inflation

UK inflation rises to 3.1% as energy costs jump

The Consumer Prices Index rose to 3.1% in the year to August 2026, up from 2.9% in July, as motor fuel and domestic energy prices climbed faster than the rest of the household basket, official data show.

3.1%
UK CPI, 12 months to August 2026 — up from 2.9% in July1
23.0%
Motor fuel prices, year to August 2026 — up from 15.5% in July1
0.5%
Monthly CPI rise in August 2026, versus 0.3% a year earlier1
What the data shows

Fuel did the heavy lifting

The Office for National Statistics said transport — particularly motor fuels — made the largest upward contribution to the change in the annual inflation rate between July and August 2026, true of both the CPI and the more comprehensive CPIH measure.1 Average petrol prices rose 9.1 pence a litre over the month to 161.3p, the highest since November 2022; diesel rose 14.2p to 181.8p.1 That pushed annual motor fuel inflation to 23.0%, up sharply from 15.5% in July.1

Exhibit 01
UK CPI annual inflation rate, August 2025 to August 2026
Source: ONS, Consumer price inflation, UK: August 2026, Table 1.1
Key finding. Core inflation — which strips out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco — held at 2.6% in both July and August.1 That points to an energy-led rise rather than a broader acceleration across the basket.
In the home

Domestic energy added a smaller, separate push

Away from the pump, prices for electricity, gas and other fuels rose 0.9% between July and August, lifting their annual rate to 6.0%; the ONS pointed to increases in domestic heating oil and fixed-rate gas and electricity tariffs.1 This category's contribution to the CPIH annual rate rose to 0.15 percentage points in August — its largest since September 2025 — a smaller effect than motor fuels, but moving the same way.1 Housing costs overall remained the single largest contributor to the CPIH rate, mainly on owner-occupiers' housing costs rather than energy.1

What we don't know

The ONS reports motor fuels within the transport division and domestic fuels within housing separately; this release does not publish one combined "energy" contribution figure for the month, so the two effects described here cannot be added into a single precise percentage-point total from this bulletin alone.1 Whether August's fuel-price rise continues, holds, or reverses depends on oil markets over the autumn, which this release does not forecast.

Caveat
Caveat. This is one month's reading. Fuel prices are among the more volatile items in the basket, so August's jump should be read alongside the next release — due 21 October 2026 — before treating it as an established trend rather than a one-off.1
Method. Every figure in this piece — the CPI and CPIH annual and monthly rates, the CPI 12-month rate series in Exhibit 01, the motor fuel and domestic energy rates, the petrol and diesel prices, and the percentage-point contribution figures — is taken directly from the Office for National Statistics' published tables and text in its August 2026 consumer price inflation bulletin. No modelling, forecasting or projection is used anywhere in this piece.
Sources. Numbered, highest tier first; each inline citation points here.
  1. T1Office for National Statistics, Consumer price inflation, UK: August 2026, released 16 September 2026. Retrieved 27 September 2026. ons.gov.uk
Corrections. None. Material corrections will be logged here with date.
Figures to 27 Sep 2026. Noodle News · v1.0 · uk-cpi-energy-august.