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ANALYSIS
28 OCT 2026
Medicine · NHS pay

Hospital consultants set 25 November strike unless ministers open talks

The British Medical Association says England’s consultants will stop planned work for 48 hours from 25 November unless the Health Secretary agrees to formal negotiations. Ministers say talks are already under way and put the cost of the union’s hours demand at over £2bn.

48h
Planned strike from 06:59 on 25 November, with emergency cover only
65,557
Appointments rescheduled by the two-day consultant strike in July 2023
7.37m
Treatments waiting in England, August 2026
What happened

Consultants have named their dates, and a four-week window to avoid them

Senior hospital doctors in England will strike from 06:59 on 25 November to 06:59 on 27 November, the British Medical Association (BMA) announced on 26 October, unless the government moves first.1 Only emergency cover will run, as on Christmas Day. Planned work that needs a consultant would be hit. It would be the first consultant strike since 2023.1

The BMA says the strike is avoidable. It wants the Health Secretary to commit to formal, funded negotiations on pay and working conditions. The government, which has four weeks, says it is already talking.18 The two sides disagree about whether that counts as negotiation, and about what the dispute costs.

The union holds a legal mandate that runs for 12 months from the ballot that closed on 6 July.2 That mandate was narrow in one way: turnout cleared the 50% threshold by only about 500 votes.

Exhibit 01
The mandate: a clear majority of voters, a bare majority of turnout
Source: BMA, England consultants’ ballot, closed 6 July 2026. 76% of votes cast were yes (13,695 of 18,069); that is about 39% of all eligible consultants. The dashed line is the 50% turnout the law requires (17,534 votes).2
Why it happened

The union points to 17 years of pay and a working week it says is too long

The BMA’s case has two parts. The first is pay: it says consultants have had a 25% real-terms cut over 17 years.1 That is the union’s own calculation. The second is time. It wants a shorter standard week, more protected time for teaching and improving services, and better recognition for the hardest out-of-hours work.1

The pay review body recommended a 3.5% rise for 2026/27, effective from 1 April.5 The BMA says the government has told the same body it would offer only 2.4% for 2027/28, which the union calls a real-terms cut on any measure of inflation.1 Resident doctors accepted a deal in June that ended their strikes, which leaves consultants as the main remaining group in dispute.9

The Nuffield Trust, an independent health think tank, gives the other side of the pay picture. Consultant pay scales have started to rise in real terms since 2023 after about a decade of falls, and basic salaries in 2025/26 ran from £109,725 to £145,478. Average total NHS earnings for full-time consultants were about £161,600.6 Both readings can hold at once: a long fall, then a recent recovery that the union says is not enough.

Where it’s contested

The money at stake is mostly in the hours, not the pay rise

Health Secretary Yvette Cooper called the announcement disappointing and urged doctors not to take “irresponsible action that would place our health service under even greater pressure”, as winter nears.8 An unnamed Department of Health and Social Care source told reporters the BMA wants five hours off the working week, at a cost of “over £2bn”, and said consultants’ earnings are up £25,000 over four years.9 That figure has not been published with its workings.

Exhibit 02
The hours demand is priced far above a pay rise or the strike itself
Source: DHSC source via AOL; Nuffield Trust. The three bars measure different things: the hours figure is an estimate of a lasting cost (“over”, so a floor), the pay figure is the yearly cost of 1% on consultants’ direct salary, and the strike figure is two days at the NHS-wide average of about £40m a day across all staff groups.96
The BMA’s case

Ministers have “kicked the can down the road”, its consultants’ co-chairs said on 26 October, and talks so far have not been formal negotiations.1

Partly empirical, partly about values
The employers’ case

NHS Employers urged the BMA to “get back around the table and talk”, and said the NHS must be open about what it can afford.3

Partly empirical, partly about values

On the ballot, the department’s counter-point is arithmetic: about 39% of eligible consultants voted yes.2 That is correct, and so is the BMA’s 76% of those who voted. The law sets the threshold at turnout, which was met.

Why it matters

Two days of lost planned care would land on a waiting list that grew again in August

Patients feel a consultant strike through cancelled operations and clinics, because many planned procedures need a consultant present or supervising. NHS England counted 65,557 inpatient and outpatient appointments and procedures rescheduled in the first two-day consultant strike, in July 2023, and said that was probably an undercount because some trusts did not report.4

The backdrop is different now but not easier. NHS England’s August figures show 7.37 million treatments waiting and 65.2% of patients waiting under 18 weeks, against a 92% standard; the list was up 0.6% on July.7 The 2023 count equalled about 0.9% of today’s list. A rescheduled appointment is delayed, not lost, but each one adds to a queue that is not falling. NHS Alliance leaders said they were dismayed by the decision.9

The strike would also fall in the week before the winter peak that ministers have said they are preparing for, when beds and staff are already stretched.8

What we don’t know

Formal strike notices have not yet been issued, and reports differ on whether the action is two calendar days or 48 hours; the BMA’s own notice says 06:59 on 25 November to 06:59 on 27 November. The government has not published the workings behind its £2bn figure, and the 2.4% figure for 2027/28 is the BMA’s account of evidence to the review body.

Caveat. The 2023 figure is a count of rescheduled appointments from a different year and a different strike. Trusts have since learned to plan around walkouts, so the 2026 number could be lower or higher. Rescheduled does not mean cancelled for good, and the figure says nothing about clinical harm.
What happens next

The next four weeks decide whether formal talks open

The BMA says the strike is off if the Health Secretary commits to funded, formal negotiations on pay and conditions, and the government has until the strike starts on 25 November to answer.1 Formal notices to employers are still to be issued. If the strike goes ahead, NHS England publishes counts of rescheduled appointments after each action, so the cost will be measured against the 2023 figure. In Scotland, a separate ballot of consultants and specialty doctors opened on 26 October.1

Method. The ballot figures (35,067 eligible, 18,069 votes, 13,695 yes, 51.5% turnout, 76% yes) are the BMA’s. The 39% of eligible consultants and the 17,534-vote threshold (half of 35,067, rounded up) are the desk’s arithmetic; 13,695 of 18,069 is 75.8%, which the BMA rounds to 76%. The 65,557 rescheduled appointments for 20 and 21 July 2023 are NHS England’s count, which it said probably understates the total. The 0.9% comparison divides that by the August 2026 waiting list of 7,370,100. Exhibit 02 plots £2,000m for the hours estimate, which is the lower bound of “over £2bn”; £80m is two strike days at the Nuffield Trust’s average of about £40m a day; £93m is its cost of a 1% consultant uplift on 2024/25 earnings. The waiting-list figures are NHS England’s August 2026 referral-to-treatment data as presented by COIOS, since the primary tables were not retrievable; the 0.6% monthly rise is also COIOS’s. The 3.5% award is the review body’s recommendation as set out by the Welsh Government; its acceptance in England was not retrieved from a primary source and is not relied on in the piece. The Health Secretary’s remarks are as reported by Brit Brief and AOL, not from a DHSC release. The BMA gives the strike window as 06:59 on 25 November to 06:59 on 27 November; NHS Employers and some outlets say 25 and 26 November.
Sources. Numbered, highest tier first; each inline citation points here.
  1. T1British Medical Association, Consultants in England to take strike action in November, 26 October 2026. Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  2. T1British Medical Association, Consultants vote for industrial action in England, July 2026. Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  3. T1NHS Employers, NHS Employers responds to BMA news on consultants taking strike action in November, 26 October 2026. Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  4. T1NHS England, NHS England publishes data on first consultants strike in a decade, July 2023 (figure as reported in search extract; page text not retrieved). Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  5. T1Welsh Government, Written statement: responding to the 54th Doctors and Dentists Review Body, 25 March 2026. Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  6. T2Nuffield Trust, Exploring the earnings of NHS doctors in England (2025 update). Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  7. T3COIOS, Hospital waiting times tracker, presenting NHS England’s referral-to-treatment data for August 2026 (released 8 October 2026). Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  8. T3Brit Brief, NHS consultants to stage two-day strike in November, 26 October 2026. Retrieved 28 October 2026.
  9. T3AOL, NHS consultants to go on two-day strike in England in November, says BMA, October 2026. Retrieved 28 October 2026.
Production. Researched, written and checked by an AI system working to the Noodle News standards; edited and published by the Noodle News editor.
Corrections. None. Material corrections will be logged here with date.
Figures to 28 Oct 2026. Noodle News · v1.0 · consultants-strike-november-nhs.