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ANALYSIS
18 OCT 2026
Immigration · Social care

Visas for overseas care workers have all but stopped

The Home Office granted 344 care-worker visas to people applying from abroad in the year to June 2026, against 107,772 in 2023. Providers can still sponsor migrants already in the UK, but only until July 2028.

99.7%
Fall in visas for care workers applying from abroad, 2023 to the year to June 2026
95%
Fall in all Health and Care Worker visas to main applicants from abroad over the same period
2028
Year the rules stop providers sponsoring care workers already in the UK
What happened

The route that staffed care from abroad has nearly closed

Care providers in the UK have all but stopped hiring staff from abroad on work visas, a year after the government shut the route to new overseas applicants. In the year to June the Home Office granted 344 such visas to care workers, against 107,772 in 2023.1

The wider Health and Care Worker route, which also brings in doctors and nurses, is down 95% from its peak.1 Applications have kept falling since those figures: about 7,500 main applicants applied in the year to September, 63% fewer than a year before.5 It is part of a wider fall in arrivals that has slowed population growth, alongside a drop in student visas.

The fall is what ministers intended. They closed the route citing abuse of migrant workers by some sponsors, and want employers to recruit and pay staff at home.68 For providers in England, who took on about 105,000 international recruits in 2023/24 alone, the question is now where staff will come from: they may sponsor only migrants already in the UK, and that option ends in July 2028.13

Exhibit 01
Health and Care Worker visas granted to main applicants applying from abroad, by year
Source: Home Office, Immigration system statistics, editions for 2022, 2024, 2025 and the year ending June 2026. Entry clearance visas granted, main applicants only, twelve-month totals; the 2021 figure is the rounded one the Home Office states. Includes doctors and nurses as well as care workers.1234
Why it happened

Most of the fall came before the ban, after a crackdown on sponsors

The collapse came in two stages. The first undid a surge. Care workers were added to the Skilled Worker route in February 2022, and in 2023 health and care accounted for 69% of the record number of Skilled Worker visas, according to the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford.14

From late 2023 the Home Office applied more scrutiny to care employers and took action against those breaking sponsorship rules, it says.1 From March 2024 care workers could no longer bring dependants, and sponsors had to be registered with the Care Quality Commission.15 By the end of 2024, grants to main applicants on the route had fallen 81% in a year, to 27,174.2 On the desk's arithmetic, 86% of the fall from the peak to today had happened by then.

Abuse drove that crackdown. Yvette Cooper, then home secretary, told MPs on 12 May 2025 that the care visa had brought "a shameful and deeply damaging increase in abuse and exploitation", with 470 providers' sponsor licences suspended once checks began.8 The government says 39,000 care workers were linked to sponsors whose licences were revoked between July 2022 and December 2024.14

The second stage was the ban itself. From 22 July 2025 providers could no longer sponsor care workers from abroad. People already in the UK can still switch into care jobs until 22 July 2028, if they have worked for the sponsoring provider for at least three months.6 The same rules raised the Skilled Worker skill threshold back to degree level, removing about 180 occupations from the route.6

Exhibit 02
What the rules have let care providers do since care workers joined the visa route
Source: Migration Observatory; Home Office, explanatory memorandum to HC 997. Bars run from February 2022, when care workers joined the route, to 11 March 2024 (dependants), 22 July 2025 (recruiting from abroad) and 22 July 2028 (sponsoring migrants already in the UK). The hatched part, after 18 October 2026, is the schedule in the rules, not yet history.14156
Key finding. Grants on the route had already fallen 81% by the end of 2024. The July 2025 ban closed what was left.
Who it affects

Providers now hire migrants who are already here

Care providers have lost the source of most of their recent growth. Skills for Care, the workforce body for adult social care in England, counts 30,000 international recruits starting direct care jobs in 2025/26, down from 105,000 two years earlier. Only about 1,500 came on a Health and Care Worker visa; the rest arrived as dependants, family members or students.13 Of the 52,000 people who switched straight from a student visa to a Skilled Worker visa between 2021 and March 2026, 44% went into care, the Migration Observatory found.14

So far that has not shown up as empty posts. The sector's vacancy rate fell to 6.2% in 2025/26, about 96,000 posts on a typical day and the lowest since 2015/16, even as posts held by British nationals fell by about 40,000.13

Provider bodies describe a harsher picture. The Homecare Association said in October 2025 that 59% of the 450 home-care providers it surveyed employed sponsored workers. Jane Townson, its chief executive, said families "are waiting for care that simply isn't available in some places".19 Martin Green, chief executive of Care England, called the figures published in May "not a triumph; they are a warning", linking the shortfall to older and disabled people waiting for care and to patients stuck in hospital.18

For migrants already on the route, the numbers run the other way. Extensions of stay on the health and care route, including dependants, rose 19% in the year to June, to 336,215, which the Home Office attributes to the large intakes of 2022 and 2023.1 Their next hurdle is settlement. The government has proposed that people in jobs below degree level, care work among them, wait 15 years rather than five. The Commons Home Affairs Committee said in March that this "is likely to increase in-work poverty for care workers".10

Exhibit 03
International recruits starting direct care jobs in England's independent sector, by year
Source: Skills for Care, The size and structure of the adult social care sector and workforce in England, 2026. Non-British workers who arrived in the UK during the year and started a direct care role; rounded to the nearest 5,000. Years run April to March. Recruits on any visa, not only the care route.13
Where it's contested

A sector short of staff, or one adjusting?

The case for a shortage

Providers and health researchers argue the closure removes the sector's main source of growth before pay improves. Cyril Lobont of the Nuffield Trust said in November 2025 that the planned fair pay agreement would not take effect until 2028, and that its £500m first-year funding falls far short.17 The Migration Advisory Committee, which advises ministers, has long argued that the fix is better pay, which its December 2024 annual report called "in essence a government decision".16

Empirical dispute
The case for adjustment

The government's July 2025 impact assessment judged the effect on adult social care "thought to be minimal".7 Skills for Care's data so far fit that: vacancies are at a ten-year low, and the workforce added 22,000 filled posts in 2025/26, though that was the slowest rise in four years.13

Empirical dispute

One reading is that both hold for now. The transition lets providers draw on migrants already in the UK, and the impact assessment itself expects that pool to shrink once it ends, projecting 21,000 fewer in-country care visas a year from 2029/30.7

What we don't know

How many care workers have left the sector or the UK since the route closed: the Home Office counts visas granted, not people in post. Whether care workers already here will face the 15-year wait for settlement, which the government has not yet decided. And how many migrants already in the UK will still be available to hire as July 2028 approaches.

Caveat. The strongest objection is that falling visas need not mean fewer care workers. About 30,000 international recruits still started care jobs last year on other visas, and vacancies are at a ten-year low. The 2023 peak was also exceptional: against 2021, before care workers joined the route, health and care grants to main applicants are down 77%, not 95%.
What happens next

A settlement decision this year, and a deadline in July 2028

The Home Office's next monthly visa applications figures are due on 12 November, and the quarterly immigration statistics for the year to September 2026 on 26 November.512

The decision that matters most to care workers already here is on settlement. Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, told the Home Affairs Committee on 15 September: "Later this year we will set out the new policy on settlement." She said it would come, with transitional arrangements, in good time before the first people affected qualify under the current rules.11

On pay, the government plans an Adult Social Care Negotiating Body, due to be set up in 2026, to negotiate the first fair pay agreement for care workers, due in 2028 with £500m behind it.9

Then, on 22 July 2028, the transition ends and providers lose the last way to sponsor a care worker on a work visa.6 By then the first pay deal is due to be in force. Whether it draws in enough staff from home to replace recruits from abroad is the test the government has set for its policy.

Method. Visa figures are the Home Office's published counts of entry clearance visas granted to people applying from abroad, for main applicants unless stated. Each year in Exhibit 01 comes from the edition for that year; later editions revise earlier years slightly, and this piece did not retrieve the latest revised back-series from the reference tables. The 2021 figure (31,800) is the rounded one the latest edition states. Care-worker figures are the Home Office's "caring personal services" occupations. Figures for 2026 are provisional. Derived figures were computed in code: the 99.7% fall is 344 against 107,772; the 95% fall is 7,228 against the stated peak of 145,823; the 77% fall is 7,228 against 31,800; the 86% share is the fall from 2023 to 2024 (118,649) over the fall from 2023 to the year to June 2026 (138,595). Extensions include dependants. Skills for Care's recruit counts cover England's independent sector only, are rounded, and include people on any visa. Provider bodies' statements are cited for their positions, not as measurement. The rule dates in Exhibit 02 are from the explanatory memorandum to HC 997 and the Migration Observatory; the hatched segment is the scheduled end of the transition, not an observation.
Sources. Numbered, highest tier first; each inline citation points here.
  1. T1Home Office, Immigration system statistics, year ending June 2026: Why do people come to the UK? Work, published 27 August 2026. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  2. T1Home Office, Immigration system statistics, year ending December 2024: Work, published 27 February 2025. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  3. T1Home Office, Immigration system statistics, year ending December 2025: Work, published 26 February 2026. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  4. T1Home Office, Immigration system statistics, year ending December 2022: Why do people come to the UK? To work, published 23 February 2023. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  5. T1Home Office, Monthly entry clearance visa applications: September 2026, published 8 October 2026 (provisional; next update 12 November 2026). Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  6. T1Home Office, Explanatory memorandum to the statement of changes to the Immigration Rules, HC 997, 1 July 2025. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  7. T1Home Office, Spring 2025 Immigration Rules impact assessment (Skilled Worker and Care Worker), July 2025. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  8. T1Yvette Cooper, Home Secretary, Immigration white paper: oral statement to the House of Commons, 12 May 2025. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  9. T1Department of Health and Social Care, £500m for first-ever fair pay agreement for care workers, 30 September 2025. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  10. T1House of Commons Home Affairs Committee, Earned Settlement: Examining the Government's proposed reforms, 13 March 2026. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  11. T1House of Commons Home Affairs Committee, Oral evidence: The work of the Home Office (Shabana Mahmood, Q56–Q57), 15 September 2026. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  12. T1Home Office, Release announcement: Immigration system statistics, year ending September 2026 (confirmed for 26 November 2026). Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  13. T2Skills for Care, The size and structure of the adult social care sector and workforce in England, 2026, 24 June 2026. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  14. T2Ben Brindle and Madeleine Sumption, Migration Observatory, University of Oxford, Work visas and migrant workers in the UK, 14 October 2026. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  15. T2Madeleine Sumption and Ben Brindle, Migration Observatory, The ban on care workers' family members: what will be the impact?, 5 April 2024. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  16. T2Migration Advisory Committee, Annual report 2024, December 2024. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  17. T2Nuffield Trust, Falling immigration presents problems for social care sector (Cyril Lobont), 27 November 2025. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  18. T3Care England, Government leaves social care defenceless while declaring victory on migration (Martin Green), 22 May 2026. Provider body; cited for its position. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
  19. T3Homecare Association, Families waiting for care as Government shuts down overseas recruitment (Jane Townson), 9 October 2025. Provider body; cited for its position. Retrieved 18 October 2026.
Production. Researched, written and checked by an AI system working to the Noodle News standards; edited and published by the Noodle News editor.
Corrections. v2.0 (18 Oct 2026): rewritten to the desk's v5 standards — adds the explanation, effects and next steps; no figure from v1.0 changed, and new figures are added.
Figures to 18 Oct 2026. Noodle News · v2.0 · health-care-visas-new-workers-fall.